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The primary season is about to shift into overdrive with Super Tuesday, when Republican voters in 15 states will cast their votes. Polls suggest that former President Donald Trump is very likely to win most, if not all, of these contests. I spoke with Nate Cohn, The New York Times’s chief political analyst, about when Trump’s nomination could become a lock. If the polls are right, there’s really only one scenario: Trump finding himself within easy striking distance of the nomination. Put it together, and Trump could easily win more than 90 percent of the delegates available on Super Tuesday.

Persons: Donald Trump, Nate Cohn, — Dean Phillips, Marianne Williamson —, Nate, It’s, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, there’s, Trump, Haley, Israel’s, Haiyun Jiang, The New York Times Trump, Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel, you’re, You’re, ” Trump, Netanyahu, Biden, Israel —, America’s, ”, John Bolton, — Jonathan Swan, Maggie Haberman, Michael Gold Read Organizations: Republican, Trump, The, Democratic, Republican National Convention, California —, The New York Times, Univision, Republican Party, Hezbollah, Trump Republican Party, Biden, Democratic Party, “ Locations: Iowa , New Hampshire, California, Georgia, Hawaii , Mississippi, Washington, Arizona, Florida , Illinois , Kansas, Ohio, Gaza . Credit, Gaza, Israel, Lebanese, Rock Hill, S.C, Trump, Michigan

But the donors in the American Opportunity Alliance do not move in unison, and people supporting Ms. Haley — and who had supported Gov. Some members of the group have been open about wanting a candidate other than Mr. Trump. Mr. Trump also has repeatedly attacked major donors as being part of the “swamp” that he derides. The network supported Ms. Haley, but as The New York Times recently reported, some of its donors regretted that endorsement. They also suggested that they would be focusing intensely on Senate and House races, especially if Mr. Trump became the nominee.

Persons: Republican megadonors, Donald J, Trump, Nikki Haley, Haley’s, Betsy Ankney, Trump’s, Susie Wiles, Puck, Ricketts, Paul Singer, Kenneth Griffin, Haley —, Ron DeSantis, Haley, Mr, DeSantis, —, Linda McMahon, President Trump, Nikki Haley’s, Mark Kauzlarich, Jean Carroll, Koch, Emily Seidel, Michael Palmer, Ms Organizations: Republican, American Opportunity Alliance, Chicago Cubs, Sunday, New, Small Business Administration, President, The New York Times, Trump Republican Party, Mr, Prosperity, New York Times Locations: Palm Beach, Fla, Florida, Dallas, Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Indian Wells, Calif

☆ Trump makes history again as he powers toward Republican nomination
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-24 | by ( Stephen Collinson | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

CNN —Nothing seems to be stopping Donald Trump as he surges toward his third consecutive Republican nomination. And yet, Trump spent Tuesday night seething, sources told CNN’s Kaitlan Collins, because his sole remaining GOP rival, former South Carolina Gov. Trump criticized Haley publicly and privately and urged his political aides to up their attacks on her, Collins reported. But even while in office, Trump never lost sight of his core political formula — his reputation as an insurgent outsider. With 88% of the vote in from the primary, Haley trailed Trump by about 11 points.

Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Trump, CNN’s Kaitlan Collins, Nikki Haley, isn’t, Haley, Collins, There’s, that’s, Joe Biden’s, he’s, —, ”, Ron DeSantis, he’ll, “, ” Trump, “ Ron, DeSantis, South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, Vivek Ramaswamy, George Santos, ” Haley, “ Trump, Chris Christie, she’ll, Haley shouldn’t, –, Lisa Kent, CNN’s Kate Sullivan Organizations: CNN, Republican, New, GOP, South Carolina Gov, New Hampshire, Trump Republican Party, Trump can’t, Biden, Florida Gov, White, South, UN, Trump Locations: New Hampshire, Iowa, Washington, Nashua, South Carolina, –, New, “, Wilmington , Delaware, Haley , New Hampshire, Granite, Connecticut, Concord

☆ The Lost DeSantis Moment
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( Nate Cohn | More About Nate Cohn | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

There are countless reasons Mr. DeSantis fell apart and ultimately ended his campaign Sunday — including that his opponent proved once again to be a juggernaut. Perhaps Mr. DeSantis might have won the nomination in most other years, if he hadn’t been going against a former president. But rather than dwell on his losing campaign, it’s worth returning to his apparent strength at the outset — that brief moment when Mr. DeSantis, or at least the idea of Mr. DeSantis, routinely led Mr. Trump in high-quality head-to-head polls. In the eight years since Donald J. Trump won the Republican nomination, this was the only moment when Republican voters appeared willing to go a different direction. Mr. DeSantis didn’t capitalize on the moment, but nonetheless it’s the only glimpse we’ve had into the post-Trump Republican Party.

Persons: Ron DeSantis, Ronald Reagan, Barack Obama, DeSantis, Trump, Donald J, we’ve Organizations: Republican, Trump Republican Party

☆ Former Vice President Mike Pence is suspending his 2024 presidential campaign: 'This is not my time'
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-28 | by ( John L. Dorman | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Former Vice President Mike Pence announced he would suspend his presidential run. AdvertisementAdvertisementFormer Vice President Mike Pence has suspended his presidential campaign, he said on Saturday. AdvertisementAdvertisementPence, who served as vice president under President Donald Trump, launched his campaign by seeking to appeal to evangelical voters. Some protesters even chanted: "Hang Mike Pence." But Pence returned to his post as vice president and certified Biden's win.

Persons: Mike Pence, Pence, Donald Trump, —, Trump, Joe Biden's Organizations: Republican Jewish Coalition Summit, GOP, Service, Republican, Trump Republican Party, Indiana, Trump Locations: Las Vegas, United States, Israel, Iowa

In Iowa, where evangelical Christians dominate the first-in-the-nation Republican presidential caucuses, Rowland and other pastors are delivering a message meant to resonate both biblically and politically. While curbing abortion has for decades energized Christian conservatives like no other issue, the attack by Hamas and Israel's response have put new pressure on Republican candidates to hew not just to traditional Republican support for Israel but to beliefs rooted in the Bible. Some Christians support Israel due to Old Testament writings that Jews are God’s chosen people and that Israel is their rightful homeland. Some evangelicals believe Israel is key to an end-times prophecy that will bring about the return of the Christian messiah. Daniel Hummel, author of “Covenant Brothers: Evangelicals, Jews, and U.S.-Israeli Relations," said that Republican support for Israel has become a proxy for other conservative priorities, particularly on immigration.

Persons: Steve Rowland peered, Rowland, “ Israel, Israel, Joe Biden, “ We’ve, ”, Nikki Haley, Donald Trump, Benjamin Netanyahu, Trump, Roe, Wade, Daniel Hummel, Haley, Ron DeSantis —, “, ” Hummel, Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, ” Scott, Scott, DeSantis, Joseph Brown, Netanyahu “, Brown, Marion, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ramaswamy, Brad Cranston, ” Ann Trimble Ray, ” Rowland, they've, Tiffany Stanley Organizations: Sun, of Christ, Republican, Iowa, GOP, South, United Nations, The Associated Press, “, Brothers, Trump, Florida Gov, Trump Republican Party, Baptist Church, Heritage Baptist Church, CNN, Associated Press Locations: NEWTON, Iowa, Des Moines, Altoona, Israel, Iran, South Carolina, Cedar Rapids, White, U.S, Tel Aviv, Jerusalem, It's, Carolina, Newton, Washington , Iowa, Burlington , Iowa, Gaza, Trump, , Iowa, Washington

☆ Trump is in a league of his own as GOP primary hits fall sprint
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-05 | by ( Stephen Collinson | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +11 min

CNN —There are two Republican primaries as an election season that defies conventional metrics and campaign trail traditions crashes into its fall stretch. Trump has already convinced millions of his supporters that he is the current legitimate president after his false claims of fraud in the 2020 election. Many of the candidates in the second tier appear to be running for the nomination of a Republican Party that may not even exist anymore. Given these numbers, why would Trump drop his boycott and attend the second GOP presidential debate at the Ronald Reagan library in California later this month? “We need to narrow it down to find a leader who can get the Republican Party back on the right track and that could get us back to winning elections again,” Hogan said.

Persons: Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis –, Vivek Ramaswamy, Trump, Joe Biden, lionizes autocrats, ”, Peter Navarro, he’s, Michael Cohen, Biden, Hunter, Nikki Haley, Trump’s, Mike Pence, DeSantis, “, . South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, Chris Christie, Asa Hutchinson, Ramaswamy, Pence, Haley, Christie, Scott, Ronald Reagan, Chris Sununu, ” Sununu, Larry Hogan, ” Hogan Organizations: CNN, Republican, GOP, Florida Gov, Trump, Labor, Republicans, White, Former South Carolina Gov, Former New Jersey Gov, Arkansas Gov, Republican Party, Trump Republican Party, New, New Hampshire Gov, NBC, ” Former Maryland Gov, CBS Locations: Florida, Washington ,, Georgia, Washington, Fulton County , Georgia, Fulton County, Iowa, New Hampshire, Ukraine, China, . South Carolina, DeSantis, California, Wisconsin, Russia, ”

But in advance of this debate, I did go back and watch the 2015 Republican debate. michelle cottleOK. I’m going to jump in here with the message may be great, but the messenger was absolutely atrocious. But I thought it was really, really interesting. carlos lozadaNo, no, no, but no, here’s what — no, I mean, I’m not inclined to. And then, I’m going to put the interests of Americans first, which is just an America first riff.

Persons: lydia polgreen, ross douhat Bemusement, michelle cottle, polgreen Wow, ross douhat, lydia polgreen Carlos, carlos lozada Darkness, carlos lozada, Mike Pence, Lydia Polgreen, michelle cottle I’m Michelle Cottle, ross douhat I’m Ross Douthat, carlos lozada I’m Carlos Lozada, you’re, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ramaswamy, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Pence, carlos lozada That’s, Lydia, Prince, carlos lozada —, Tucker Carlson, Carlos, John Kasich, Scott Walker, Jeb Bush —, Ross, ross, It’s, he’s, Trump, lydia polgreen We’re, ross douhat Punditry, yammering, He’s, Michelle, that’s, — michelle cottle, she’s, She’s, lydia polgreen —, michelle cottle He’s, I’m, Obama, —, Chris Christie, Marco Rubio, Haley, michelle cottle ChatGPT, carlos lozada ChatGPT, ross douhat We’ve, — carlos lozada There’s, Pudding Fingers, DeSantis, unquote, ”, it’s, Christie, Tim Scott —, hasn’t, carlos lozada DeSantis’s, George Soros, — carlos lozada —, I’ve, ross douhat Totally, Donald Trump, — ross, Chris Christie can’t, ross douhat Trump, Tim Scott, Vivek’s, carlos lozada He’ll, — ross douhat, Tucker, Jeffrey Epstein, polgreen, Epstein, Biden, lydia polgreen He’s, They’re, Asa —, carlos lozada It’s, michelle cottle That’s, michelle cottle Oh, we’re, you’re Donald Trump, carlos lozada Well, who’s, Mel Gibson, Anthony Hopkins, Caroline Alexander, — carlos lozada, michelle cottle Aw, ross douhat It’s, David Grann, MOO, we’ve, “ MOO, ” ross, “, somebody’s, michelle cottle I’m Organizations: Indigo, Twitter, lydia polgreen From New York, Trump, Republican Party, Republican, Harvard, Ivy League, Fox, Fox News, Republican National Committee, Biden, Democratic, Trump Republican Party, Iowa Locations: United States of America, lydia polgreen From New, Trump, America, Washington, UN, New Hampshire, Ukraine, Iowa, Florida, Panama, China, Milwaukee, Lydia, There’s

☆ The 6 Kinds of Republican Voters
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-17 | by ( Nate Cohn | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +15 min

But if the Republican Party is no longer in Reagan’s image, it’s not necessarily a populist-conservative MAGA monolith, either. But if the Republican Party isn’t quite a MAGA monolith, what is it? The groups were defined by how Republican-leaning voters felt on the issues — not how they felt about Mr. Trump. In fact, Mr. Trump leads Mr. DeSantis among every group of Republican voters identified in the analysis. They’re the smallest group of Republicans today, but this group of relatively moderate but anti-woke voters might play an important role in the Republican Party in the years ahead.

Persons: Donald J, Trump, Ronald Reagan’s, it’s, MAGA, Trump’s, Mr, They’re, ” They’re, it’s Mr, ”, —, Trump’s MAGA, don’t, Ron DeSantis, Susan Collins, Charlie Baker, Chris Sununu, Reagan, Bush, Biden, John Kasich, Marco Rubio, DeSantis, Rick Perry, Tim Scott, Rubio, John McCain, Mitt Romney, Romney, Liz Cheney, Roe, Wade, Ted Cruz, Newt Gingrich Trump, It’s, likeliest, Cruz, Rudy Giuliani, Paul LePage, Lou Barletta, Michael Grimm Trump, ” Reagan, Rand Paul, Jason Chaffetz, Dave Brat Trump, Vivek Ramaswamy, President Biden, they’re, “ Organizations: Right, Libertarian Conservatives, Moderate, Republican Party, New York Times, Siena College, Republican, Times, Mr, Conservatives, Fox, Trump, Blue, Trump Republican Party, Freedom Caucus, Fox News, Trump —, Republicans, Radicals, ” Reagan Democrats, Obama, Trump voters, President Locations: Ukraine, Siena, America, New York City, It’s

☆ Opinion | The Radicalization of the Young Right
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-31 | by ( Michelle Goldberg | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +2 min

When Sitman condemned the right’s cruelty toward trans people, Hochman conceded some of his points. “Do I love the way that some people on the right talk about sensitive culture issues surrounding stuff like transgenderism always? “Could we use more empathy and humility in the way that we approach these questions? Absolutely.”In March, Hochman went to work for Ron DeSantis, who at the time still looked like the most viable standard-bearer for a post-Trump Republican Party. But whatever his motives, his trajectory from conservative intellectual wunderkind to disgraced troll tells us quite a bit about the culture of the young right.

Persons: —, Nate Hochman, Sam Adler, Bell, Hochman, who’d, Matthew Sitman, Adler, Bell’s, Sitman, ”, Ron DeSantis, Axios, he’d, — Hochman, callow, wunderkind Organizations: National, New York Times, Trump Republican Party, Florida City Locations: Nazi

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